2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in New York

1. 2,390 of 2,390 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 45% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,632 of 1,632 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 758 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,786 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 45% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,390 of 1,309,358 people aged 35-39 living in New York died from All Causes.

2,390 ÷ 1,309,358 = 0.00183 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 25,433 deaths from All Causes among 20,400,735 people aged 35-39 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

25,433 ÷ 20,400,735 = 0.00125 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,309,358 X 0.00125 = 1,632 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,390 – 1,632 = 758

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,390 ÷ 1,632 = 1.4525

This reveals 758 lives lost and is 145.25% of what we expected (an increase of 45%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

13,194 ÷ 8,956,246 = 0.00147 (5-yr CDR)

1,309,358(2022 pop) X 0.00147 = 1,929 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,390 – 1,929 = 461 or 461 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,390 ÷ 1,929 = 1.2307 or an increase of 23%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,265,604 X 0.00125 = 12,798 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

15584 – 12,798 = 2,786 or 2,786 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

15,584 ÷ 12,798 = 1.2080 or an increase of 21%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.