2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 55-59 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 55-59 in New York

1. 8,520 of 8,520 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 0% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 8,534 of 8,534 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 14 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,258 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 0% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 8,520 of 1,319,494 people aged 55-59 living in New York died from All Causes.

8,520 ÷ 1,319,494 = 0.00646 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 113,496 deaths from All Causes among 17,549,303 people aged 55-59 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

113,496 ÷ 17,549,303 = 0.00647 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,319,494 X 0.00647 = 8,534 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

8,520 – 8,534 = -14

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

8,520 ÷ 8,534 = 0.9969

This reveals 14 lives saved and is 99.69% of what we expected (a decrease of 0%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

60,362 ÷ 9,525,885 = 0.00634 (5-yr CDR)

1,319,494(2022 pop) X 0.00634 = 8,361 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8,520 – 8,361 = 159 or 159 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

8,520 ÷ 8,361 = 1.0174 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,845,379 X 0.00647 = 70,140 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

68882 – 70,140 = -1,258 or 1,258 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

68,882 ÷ 70,140 = 0.9805 or a decrease of 2%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.