2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in New York

1. 15,019 of 15,019 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 16,437 of 16,437 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,418 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 10,008 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 9% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 15,019 of 1,120,311 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in New York died from All Causes.

15,019 ÷ 1,120,311 = 0.01341 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 163,055 deaths from All Causes among 11,113,435 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

163,055 ÷ 11,113,435 = 0.01467 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,120,311 X 0.01467 = 16,437 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

15,019 – 16,437 = -1,418

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

15,019 ÷ 16,437 = 0.9131

This reveals 1,418 lives saved and is 91.31% of what we expected (a decrease of 9%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

97,217 ÷ 7,211,539 = 0.01348 (5-yr CDR)

1,120,311(2022 pop) X 0.01348 = 15,103 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

15,019 – 15,103 = -84 or 84 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

15,019 ÷ 15,103 = 0.9937 or a decrease of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

8,331,850 X 0.01467 = 122,244 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

112236 – 122,244 = -10,008 or 10,008 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

112,236 ÷ 122,244 = 0.9175 or a decrease of 8%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.