2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 80+ | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80+ in New York

1. 79,636 of 79,636 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 0% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 79,525 of 79,525 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 111 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 39,567 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 0% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 80+ were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 79,636 of 421,658 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in New York died from All Causes.

79,636 ÷ 421,658 = 0.18886 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,079,008 deaths from All Causes among 5,721,141 elderly men and women aged 80+ living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,079,008 ÷ 5,721,141 = 0.18860 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

421,658 X 0.18860 = 79,525 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

79,636 – 79,525 = 111

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

79,636 ÷ 79,525 = 1.0013

This reveals 111 lives lost and is 100.13% of what we expected (an increase of 0%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

552,360 ÷ 2,719,535 = 0.20311 (5-yr CDR)

421,658(2022 pop) X 0.20311 = 85,642 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

79,636 – 85,642 = -6,006 or 6,006 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

79,636 ÷ 85,642 = 0.9298 or a decrease of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,141,193 X 0.18860 = 592,429 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

631996 – 592,429 = 39,567 or 39,567 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

631,996 ÷ 592,429 = 1.0667 or an increase of 7%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.