2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – All Ages | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in New York

1. 85,069 of 85,069 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 79,474 of 79,474 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 5,595 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 26,363 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 85,069 of 9,746,889 women of all ages living in New York died from All Causes.

85,069 ÷ 9,746,889 = 0.00873 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,186,799 deaths from All Causes among 145,552,497 women of all ages living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,186,799 ÷ 145,552,497 = 0.00815 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

9,746,889 X 0.00815 = 79,474 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

85,069 – 79,474 = 5,595

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

85,069 ÷ 79,474 = 1.0691

This reveals 5,595 lives lost and is 106.91% of what we expected (an increase of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

580,385 ÷ 68,633,061 = 0.00846 (5-yr CDR)

9,746,889(2022 pop) X 0.00846 = 82,423 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

85,069 – 82,423 = 2,646 or 2,646 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

85,069 ÷ 82,423 = 1.0309 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

78,379,950 X 0.00815 = 639,091 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

665454 – 639,091 = 26,363 or 26,363 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

665,454 ÷ 639,091 = 1.0400 or an increase of 4%

in deaths from All Causes among women of all ages living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.