2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Under 1 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for baby boys in their first year of life in New York

1. 483 of 483 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 30% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 686 of 686 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 203 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,481 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 30% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many baby boys in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 483 of 110,065 baby boys in their first year of life living in New York died from All Causes.

483 ÷ 110,065 = 0.00439 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 11,532 deaths from All Causes among 1,850,522 baby boys in their first year of life living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

11,532 ÷ 1,850,522 = 0.00623 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

110,065 X 0.00623 = 686 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

483 – 686 = -203

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

483 ÷ 686 = 0.7031

This reveals 203 lives saved and is 70.31% of what we expected (a decrease of 30%) in deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,788 ÷ 812,979 = 0.00466 (5-yr CDR)

110,065(2022 pop) X 0.00466 = 513 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

483 – 513 = -30 or 30 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

483 ÷ 513 = 0.9398 or a decrease of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

923,044 X 0.00623 = 5,752 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4271 – 5,752 = -1,481 or 1,481 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,271 ÷ 5,752 = 0.7413 or a decrease of 26%

in deaths from All Causes among baby boys in their first year of life living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.