2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in New York

1. 88,869 of 88,869 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 19% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 74,482 of 74,482 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 14,387 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 78,168 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 19% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 88,869 of 9,473,078 men of all ages living in New York died from All Causes.

88,869 ÷ 9,473,078 = 0.00938 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,086,620 deaths from All Causes among 138,202,748 men of all ages living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,086,620 ÷ 138,202,748 = 0.00786 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

9,473,078 X 0.00786 = 74,482 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

88,869 – 74,482 = 14,387

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

88,869 ÷ 74,482 = 1.1916

This reveals 14,387 lives lost and is 119.16% of what we expected (an increase of 19%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

581,072 ÷ 65,792,118 = 0.00883 (5-yr CDR)

9,473,078(2022 pop) X 0.00883 = 83,666 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

88,869 – 83,666 = 5,203 or 5,203 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

88,869 ÷ 83,666 = 1.0610 or an increase of 6%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

75,265,196 X 0.00786 = 591,773 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

669941 – 591,773 = 78,168 or 78,168 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

669,941 ÷ 591,773 = 1.1307 or an increase of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.