2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Baby Girl – Under 1 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for baby girls in their first year of life in New York

1. 283 of 401 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 70.57% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 300 of 538 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 17 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 137 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 303 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,089 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 6% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many baby girls in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 283 of 104,681 baby girls in their first year of life living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

283 ÷ 104,681 = 0.00270 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 5,069 deaths from Unknown Causes among 1,766,522 baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,069 ÷ 1,766,522 = 0.00287 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

104,681 X 0.00287 = 300 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

283 – 300 = -17

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

283 ÷ 300 = 0.9389

This reveals 17 lives saved and is 93.89% of what we expected (a decrease of 6%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,946 ÷ 777,702 = 0.00250 (5-yr CDR)

104,681(2022 pop) X 0.00250 = 262 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

283 – 262 = 21 or 21 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

283 ÷ 262 = 1.0761 or an increase of 8%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

882,383 X 0.00287 = 2,532 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2229 – 2,532 = -303 or 303 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,229 ÷ 2,532 = 0.8773 or a decrease of 12%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among baby girls in their first year of life living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.