2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – 60-64 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 60-64 in New York

1. 1,174 of 4,839 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 24.26% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,122 of 5,037 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 52 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 198 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 401 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 2,827 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,174 of 669,932 women aged 60-64 living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

1,174 ÷ 669,932 = 0.00175 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 12,721 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,595,167 women aged 60-64 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

12,721 ÷ 7,595,167 = 0.00167 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

669,932 X 0.00167 = 1,122 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,174 – 1,122 = 52

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,174 ÷ 1,122 = 1.0401

This reveals 52 lives lost and is 104.01% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

7,125 ÷ 4,524,731 = 0.00157 (5-yr CDR)

669,932(2022 pop) X 0.00157 = 1,055 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,174 – 1,055 = 119 or 119 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,174 ÷ 1,055 = 1.1058 or an increase of 11%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,194,663 X 0.00167 = 8,700 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8299 – 8,700 = -401 or 401 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

8,299 ÷ 8,700 = 0.9482 or a decrease of 5%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 60-64 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.