2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 45-49 in Tennessee
2,277 of 2,277 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 19% compared to Old Normal rates.
1,902 of 1,902 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
375 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
1,494 more deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 19% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many people aged 45-49 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 45-49 | Tennessee, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,277 of 418,277 people aged 45-49 living in Tennessee died from All Causes.
2,277 ÷ 418,277 = 0.00544 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Tennessee male aged 45-49 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
412,704
1,758
1,758
|2001
423,770
1,866
1,866
|2002
433,072
1,954
1,954
|2003
441,416
2,095
2,095
|2004
445,773
2,092
2,092
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
451,758
2,154
2,154
|2006
458,967
2,162
2,162
|2007
461,409
2,082
2,082
|2008
465,046
2,064
2,064
|2009
468,307
2,162
2,162
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
467,087
2,057
2,057
|2011
457,852
2,150
2,150
|2012
448,952
2,040
2,040
|2013
438,785
1,932
1,932
|2014
431,824
1,932
1,932
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
6,706,722
30,500
30,500
The table shows there were a total of 30,500 deaths from All Causes among 6,706,722 people aged 45-49 living in Tennessee in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
30,500 ÷ 6,706,722 = 0.00455 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
418,277 X 0.00455 = 1,902 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
2,277 – 1,902 = 375
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
2,277 ÷ 1,902 = 1.1944
This reveals 375 lives lost and is 119.44% of what we expected (an increase of 19%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Tennessee in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
442,663
1,980
1,980
|2018
442,810
2,046
2,046
|2019
437,995
2,052
2,052
|2020
429,098
2,362
2,362
|2021
422,172
2,811
2,811
Total:
3,045,311
14,968
14,968
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
14,968 ÷ 3,045,311 = 0.00492 (5-yr CDR)
418,277(2022 pop) X 0.00492 = 2,056 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
2,277 – 2,056 = 221 or 221 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
2,277 ÷ 2,056 = 1.1053 or an increase of 11%
for deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Tennessee in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
3,463,588 X 0.00455 = 15,751 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
17245 – 15,751 = 1,494 or 1,494 lives lost
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
17,245 ÷ 15,751 = 1.0924 or an increase of 9%
in deaths from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Tennessee in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
432,175
1,819
1,819
|2016
438,398
1,898
1,898
|2017
442,663
1,980
1,980
|2018
442,810
2,046
2,046
|2019
437,995
2,052
2,052
|2020
429,098
2,362
2,362
|2021
422,172
2,811
2,811
|2022
418,277
2,277
2,277
Total:
3,463,588
17,245
17,245
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
84,988 of the 84,988 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Tennessee in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 26% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 6,932,104 individuals would have predicted 67,180 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 17,808 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Tennessee in 2022.
To date, 89,025 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Tennessee.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 17,808 lives and the 8-year loss of 89,025 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 541 of the 84,988 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 541 total deaths in this group.
This is down 21% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 81,460 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 686 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 145 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 4,428 deaths from All Causes represent 953 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 145 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 4428 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 541 / 84,988
The next 106 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 99.99% of the 106 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 323,961 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 108 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 785 deaths from All Causes represent 82 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 fewer and the 8 year total of 785 fewer individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 647 / 84,988
The next 60 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.98% of the 60 total deaths in this group.
This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 421,316 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 61 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 488 deaths from All Causes represent 8 lives lost among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 488 fewer individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 707 / 84,988
The next 89 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.99% of the 89 total deaths in this group.
This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 438,036 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 84 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 5 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 652 deaths from All Causes represent 5 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 5 more and the 8 year total of 652 more individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 796 / 84,988
The next 371 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 100.00% of the 371 total deaths in this group.
This is up 13% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 440,419 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 325 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 46 more deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 2,487 deaths from All Causes represent 32 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 46 more and the 8 year total of 2,487 more individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,167 / 84,988
The next 726 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 726 total deaths in this group.
This is up 33% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 477,085 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 542 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 184 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 4,688 deaths from All Causes represent 561 lives lost among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 184 more and the 8 year total of 4,688 more individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,893 / 84,988
The next 943 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 943 total deaths in this group.
This is up 52% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 482,576 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 614 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 329 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 6,385 deaths from All Causes represent 1,498 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 329 more and the 8 year total of 6,385 more individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,836 / 84,988
The next 1,295 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,295 total deaths in this group.
This is up 70% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 493,987 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 758 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 537 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 8,158 deaths from All Causes represent 2,604 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 537 more and the 8 year total of 8,158 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,131 / 84,988
The next 1,507 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,507 total deaths in this group.
This is up 61% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 450,141 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 930 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 577 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 9,637 deaths from All Causes represent 2,482 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 577 more and the 8 year total of 9,637 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,638 / 84,988
The next 1,893 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,893 total deaths in this group.
This is up 41% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 442,297 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 1,339 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 554 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 12,191 deaths from All Causes represent 2,024 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 554 more and the 8 year total of 12,191 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,531 / 84,988
The next 2,277 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,277 total deaths in this group.
This is up 19% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 418,277 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 1,902 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 375 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 17,245 deaths from All Causes represent 1,494 lives lost among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 375 more and the 8 year total of 17,245 more individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 9,808 / 84,988
The next 3,430 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 3,430 total deaths in this group.
This is up 14% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 454,247 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 3,000 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 430 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 25,928 deaths from All Causes represent 2,283 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 430 more and the 8 year total of 25,928 more individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 13,238 / 84,988
The next 5,086 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 5,086 total deaths in this group.
This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 454,918 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 4,238 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 848 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 39,500 deaths from All Causes represent 5,455 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 848 more and the 8 year total of 39,500 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 18,324 / 84,988
The next 7,206 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 7,206 total deaths in this group.
This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 451,630 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 6,021 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1,185 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 51,546 deaths from All Causes represent 5,602 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1,185 more and the 8 year total of 51,546 more individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 25,530 / 84,988
The next 8,545 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 8,545 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 402,492 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 7,843 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 702 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 60,664 deaths from All Causes represent 2,030 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 702 more and the 8 year total of 60,664 more individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 34,075 / 84,988
The next 9,908 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 9,908 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 327,032 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 9,730 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 178 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 69,088 deaths from All Causes represent 1,687 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 178 more and the 8 year total of 69,088 more individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 43,983 / 84,988
The next 11,105 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 11,105 total deaths in this group.
This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 233,871 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 10,847 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 258 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 73,085 deaths from All Causes represent 2,160 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 258 more and the 8 year total of 73,085 more individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 55,088 / 84,988
The next 10,593 of the 84,988 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 10,593 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 138,359 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 10,291 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 302 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 74,669 deaths from All Causes represent 1,640 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 302 more and the 8 year total of 74,669 more individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 65,681 / 84,988
The next 29,900 of the 84,988 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 29,900 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 138,359 would have predicted 29,137 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 763 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Tennessee in 2022.
Overall, 220,901 deaths from All Causes represent 4,836 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Tennessee's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 220,901 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 95,581 / 84,988*
* Tennessee does not report the deaths of 10,593 babies in it's death totals
![Graph showing Populalation - Male - Aged 45-49 - [2000-2022] | Tennessee, United-states](/wp-content/plugins/dfuc-display/charts/united-states/tennessee/2022/all/Both Sexes/45-49-pop.png)
