2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – Under 1 | Texas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for babies in their first year of life in Texas

1. 2,243 of 2,243 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,375 of 2,375 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 132 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,215 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 6% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many babies in their first year of life were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,243 of 378,682 babies in their first year of life living in Texas died from All Causes.

2,243 ÷ 378,682 = 0.00592 (2022 CDR)

The table shows there were a total of 35,329 deaths from All Causes among 5,632,122 babies in their first year of life living in Texas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

35,329 ÷ 5,632,122 = 0.00627 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

378,682 X 0.00627 = 2,375 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,243 – 2,375 = -132

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,243 ÷ 2,375 = 0.9428

This reveals 132 lives saved and is 94.28% of what we expected (a decrease of 6%) in deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

14,943 ÷ 2,714,221 = 0.00551 (5-yr CDR)

378,682(2022 pop) X 0.00551 = 2,085 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,243 – 2,085 = 158 or 158 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,243 ÷ 2,085 = 1.0739 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,092,903 X 0.00627 = 19,401 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

17186 – 19,401 = -2,215 or 2,215 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

17,186 ÷ 19,401 = 0.8844 or a decrease of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Texas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.