2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 25-29 | Texas, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 25-29 in Texas

1. 2,733 of 2,733 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 31% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,067 of 2,067 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 666 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,252 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 31% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,733 of 2,133,941 people aged 25-29 living in Texas died from All Causes.

2,733 ÷ 2,133,941 = 0.00128 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 25,376 deaths from All Causes among 26,197,245 people aged 25-29 living in Texas in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

25,376 ÷ 26,197,245 = 0.00097 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,133,941 X 0.00097 = 2,067 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,733 – 2,067 = 666

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,733 ÷ 2,067 = 1.3087

This reveals 666 lives lost and is 130.87% of what we expected (an increase of 31%) in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

15,939 ÷ 14,817,832 = 0.00108 (5-yr CDR)

2,133,941(2022 pop) X 0.00108 = 2,295 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,733 – 2,295 = 438 or 438 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,733 ÷ 2,295 = 1.1797 or an increase of 18%

for deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Texas in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

16,951,773 X 0.00097 = 16,420 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

18672 – 16,420 = 2,252 or 2,252 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

18,672 ÷ 16,420 = 1.1255 or an increase of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Texas in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.