2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 30-34 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 30-34 in United States

1. 30,034 of 30,034 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 67% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 17,909 of 17,909 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 12,125 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 58,050 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 67% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 30,034 of 11,836,820 men aged 30-34 living in United States died from All Causes.

30,034 ÷ 11,836,820 = 0.00254 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 230,669 deaths from All Causes among 152,455,311 men aged 30-34 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

230,669 ÷ 152,455,311 = 0.00151 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,836,820 X 0.00151 = 17,909 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

30,034 – 17,909 = 12,125

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

30,034 ÷ 17,909 = 1.6660

This reveals 12,125 lives lost and is 166.60% of what we expected (an increase of 67%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

165,057 ÷ 78,737,172 = 0.00210 (5-yr CDR)

11,836,820(2022 pop) X 0.00210 = 24,814 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

30,034 – 24,814 = 5,220 or 5,220 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

30,034 ÷ 24,814 = 1.2046 or an increase of 20%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

90,573,992 X 0.00151 = 137,041 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

195091 – 137,041 = 58,050 or 58,050 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

195,091 ÷ 137,041 = 1.4142 or an increase of 41%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 30-34 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.