2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 50-54 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 50-54 in United States

1. 68,722 of 68,722 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 66,263 of 66,263 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,459 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 7,899 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 50-54 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 68,722 of 10,434,641 men aged 50-54 living in United States died from All Causes.

68,722 ÷ 10,434,641 = 0.00659 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 969,472 deaths from All Causes among 152,666,210 men aged 50-54 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

969,472 ÷ 152,666,210 = 0.00635 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,434,641 X 0.00635 = 66,263 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

68,722 – 66,263 = 2,459

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

68,722 ÷ 66,263 = 1.0355

This reveals 2,459 lives lost and is 103.55% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

469,429 ÷ 73,066,021 = 0.00642 (5-yr CDR)

10,434,641(2022 pop) X 0.00642 = 67,040 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

68,722 – 67,040 = 1,682 or 1,682 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

68,722 ÷ 67,040 = 1.0235 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

83,500,662 X 0.00635 = 530,252 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

538151 – 530,252 = 7,899 or 7,899 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

538,151 ÷ 530,252 = 1.0133 or an increase of 1%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 50-54 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.