2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 75-79 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in United States

1. 218,209 of 218,209 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 8% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 237,621 of 237,621 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 19,412 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 147,129 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 8% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 218,209 of 4,909,686 elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States died from All Causes.

218,209 ÷ 4,909,686 = 0.04444 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 2,320,598 deaths from All Causes among 47,947,830 elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

2,320,598 ÷ 47,947,830 = 0.04840 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,909,686 X 0.04840 = 237,621 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

218,209 – 237,621 = -19,412

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

218,209 ÷ 237,621 = 0.9181

This reveals 19,412 lives saved and is 91.81% of what we expected (a decrease of 8%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,258,539 ÷ 28,642,608 = 0.04394 (5-yr CDR)

4,909,686(2022 pop) X 0.04394 = 215,729 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

218,209 – 215,729 = 2,480 or 2,480 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

218,209 ÷ 215,729 = 1.0113 or an increase of 1%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

33,552,294 X 0.04840 = 1,623,877 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1476748 – 1,623,877 = -147,129 or 147,129 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,476,748 ÷ 1,623,877 = 0.9092 or a decrease of 9%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.