2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 45-49 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 45-49 in United States

1. 6,085 of 73,143 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 8.32% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,823 of 66,538 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 262 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 6,605 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 522 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 6,312 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 1% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 45-49 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,085 of 19,624,098 people aged 45-49 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

6,085 ÷ 19,624,098 = 0.00031 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 97,349 deaths from Unknown Causes among 328,099,472 people aged 45-49 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

97,349 ÷ 328,099,472 = 0.00030 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

19,624,098 X 0.00030 = 5,823 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,085 – 5,823 = 262

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,085 ÷ 5,823 = 1.0110

This reveals 262 lives lost and is 101.10% of what we expected (an increase of 1%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 45-49 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

41,844 ÷ 143,672,327 = 0.00029 (5-yr CDR)

19,624,098(2022 pop) X 0.00029 = 5,715 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,085 – 5,715 = 370 or 370 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,085 ÷ 5,715 = 1.0293 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 45-49 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

163,296,425 X 0.00030 = 48,451 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

47929 – 48,451 = -522 or 522 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

47,929 ÷ 48,451 = 0.9570 or a decrease of 4%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 45-49 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.