2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in United States

1. 8,510 of 306,165 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 2.78% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 24% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 11,036 of 300,618 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,526 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 5,547 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 16,478 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 66,012 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 24% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 8,510 of 18,631,422 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

8,510 ÷ 18,631,422 = 0.00046 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 102,681 deaths from Unknown Causes among 173,347,658 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

102,681 ÷ 173,347,658 = 0.00059 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

18,631,422 X 0.00059 = 11,036 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

8,510 – 11,036 = -2,526

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

8,510 ÷ 11,036 = 0.7583

This reveals 2,526 lives saved and is 75.83% of what we expected (a decrease of 24%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

57,445 ÷ 120,533,813 = 0.00048 (5-yr CDR)

18,631,422(2022 pop) X 0.00048 = 8,880 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8,510 – 8,880 = -370 or 370 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

8,510 ÷ 8,880 = 0.9387 or a decrease of 6%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

139,165,235 X 0.00059 = 82,433 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

65955 – 82,433 = -16,478 or 16,478 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

65,955 ÷ 82,433 = 0.7868 or a decrease of 21%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.