2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 20-24 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 20-24 in United States

1. 1,802 of 16,457 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 10.95% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,074 of 15,665 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 272 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 792 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,422 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 6,292 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 20-24 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,802 of 11,601,988 men aged 20-24 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

1,802 ÷ 11,601,988 = 0.00016 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 29,075 deaths from Unknown Causes among 162,651,369 men aged 20-24 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

29,075 ÷ 162,651,369 = 0.00018 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,601,988 X 0.00018 = 2,074 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,802 – 2,074 = -272

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,802 ÷ 2,074 = 0.8228

This reveals 272 lives saved and is 82.28% of what we expected (a decrease of 18%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

12,932 ÷ 78,780,444 = 0.00016 (5-yr CDR)

11,601,988(2022 pop) X 0.00016 = 1,904 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,802 – 1,904 = -102 or 102 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,802 ÷ 1,904 = 0.8919 or a decrease of 11%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

90,382,432 X 0.00018 = 16,156 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

14734 – 16,156 = -1,422 or 1,422 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

14,734 ÷ 16,156 = 0.8636 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 20-24 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.