2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 80-84 in Utah
2,985 of 2,985 total deaths were from All Causes
100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates.
2,901 of 2,901 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
84 more deaths from All Causes in 2022.
539 fewer deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 3% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
“How many elderly men and women aged 80-84 were there?” and
“How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80-84 | Utah, United-states
Populalation – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 80-84 – [2000-2022] | Utah, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,985 of 45,073 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Utah died from All Causes.
2,985 ÷ 45,073 = 0.06623 (2022 CDR)
We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes
Old Normal (2001-2014) Utah elderly men and women aged 80-84 All Causes
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2000
27,178
1,988
1,988
|2001
28,368
1,954
1,954
|2002
29,213
2,134
2,134
|2003
29,686
2,074
2,074
|2004
30,454
2,103
2,103
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2005
31,446
2,111
2,111
|2006
32,209
2,045
2,045
|2007
32,682
2,093
2,093
|2008
33,131
2,000
2,000
|2009
33,948
2,002
2,002
|Year
Pop
Died
From
|2010
34,412
2,169
2,169
|2011
35,168
2,128
2,128
|2012
35,544
2,077
2,077
|2013
36,199
2,173
2,173
|2014
36,686
2,253
2,253
Cumulative:
Population
Deaths
All Causes
Totals:
486,324
31,304
31,304
The table shows there were a total of 31,304 deaths from All Causes among 486,324 elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Utah in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
31,304 ÷ 486,324 = 0.06437 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
45,073 X 0.06437 = 2,901 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
2,985 – 2,901 = 84
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
2,985 ÷ 2,901 = 1.0287
This reveals 84 lives lost and is 102.87% of what we expected (an increase of 3%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Utah in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
5yr CDR (2017-2021)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2017
39,288
2,375
2,375
|2018
40,804
2,434
2,434
|2019
42,187
2,504
2,504
|2020
43,419
2,910
2,910
|2021
42,635
2,889
2,889
Total:
284,236
17,673
17,673
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
17,673 ÷ 284,236 = 0.06218 (5-yr CDR)
45,073(2022 pop) X 0.06218 = 2,803 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
2,985 – 2,803 = 182 or 182 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
2,985 ÷ 2,803 = 1.0649 or an increase of 6%
for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Utah in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
329,309 X 0.06437 = 21,197 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
20658 – 21,197 = -539 or 539 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
20,658 ÷ 21,197 = 0.9744 or a decrease of 3%
in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Utah in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
New Normal (2015-2022)
Year
Pop
Died
From
|2015
37,437
2,274
2,274
|2016
38,466
2,287
2,287
|2017
39,288
2,375
2,375
|2018
40,804
2,434
2,434
|2019
42,187
2,504
2,504
|2020
43,419
2,910
2,910
|2021
42,635
2,889
2,889
|2022
45,073
2,985
2,985
Total:
329,309
20,658
20,658
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Browse through the age-categorized charts below to see the evidence of this. Click on any chart to see the full analysis for each age group.
21,885 of the 21,885 deaths among individuals of all ages living in Utah in 2022 were from All Causes (100.00% of all deaths).
This is up 16% compared to Old Normal (2000-2014) rates which, when applied to the this year's both sexes population of 3,341,968 individuals would have predicted 18,794 deaths from All Causes.
This means there were 3,091 more deaths than expected from All Causes among individuals of all ages living in Utah in 2022.
To date, 17,526 individual lives have been lost to All Causes over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Browse through the age categories below to learn how these deaths from All Causes in 2022 are distributed among each age group of individuals in Utah.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 loss of 3,091 lives and the 8-year loss of 17,526 individual lives from All Causes is arrived at.
The first 224 of the 21,885 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among babies in their first year of life, accounting for 100.00% of the 224 total deaths in this group.
This is down 9% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 46,679 babies in their first year of life, would have predicted 244 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 20 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among babies in their first year of life living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 2,019 deaths from All Causes represent 29 lives saved among babies in their first year of life over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how both the 2022 total of 20 fewer live lost than expected and the 8 year total of 2019 lives saved from All Causes among babies in their first year of life is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 224 / 21,885
The next 43 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among pre-schoolers aged 1-4, accounting for 99.98% of the 43 total deaths in this group.
This is down 18% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 186,395 pre-schoolers aged 1-4, would have predicted 51 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 8 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 335 deaths from All Causes represent 95 lives saved among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 8 fewer and the 8 year total of 335 fewer individual aged 1-4 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 267 / 21,885
The next 36 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 5-9, accounting for 99.97% of the 36 total deaths in this group.
This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 256,385 children aged 5-9, would have predicted 34 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 2 more deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 5-9 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 185 deaths from All Causes represent 39 lives saved among children aged 5-9 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 2 more and the 8 year total of 185 more individual aged 5-9 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 303 / 21,885
The next 46 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among children aged 10-14, accounting for 99.98% of the 46 total deaths in this group.
This is down 12% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 272,743 children aged 10-14, would have predicted 49 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 3 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among children aged 10-14 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 333 deaths from All Causes represent 29 lives saved among children aged 10-14 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 3 fewer and the 8 year total of 333 fewer individual aged 10-14 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 349 / 21,885
The next 133 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among teens aged 15-19, accounting for 99.99% of the 133 total deaths in this group.
This is down 10% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 274,221 teens aged 15-19, would have predicted 146 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 13 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 1,070 deaths from All Causes represent 2 lives saved among teens aged 15-19 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 13 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,070 fewer individual aged 15-19 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 482 / 21,885
The next 219 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 20-24, accounting for 100.00% of the 219 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 299,076 people aged 20-24, would have predicted 226 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 7 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 20-24 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 1,600 deaths from All Causes represent 8 lives saved among people aged 20-24 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 7 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,600 fewer individual aged 20-24 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 701 / 21,885
The next 242 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 25-29, accounting for 100.00% of the 242 total deaths in this group.
This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 258,368 people aged 25-29, would have predicted 243 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 1 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 25-29 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 1,986 deaths from All Causes represent 151 lives lost among people aged 25-29 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 1 fewer and the 8 year total of 1,986 fewer individual aged 25-29 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 943 / 21,885
The next 295 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 30-34, accounting for 100.00% of the 295 total deaths in this group.
This is up 9% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 240,545 people aged 30-34, would have predicted 267 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 28 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 2,420 deaths from All Causes represent 417 lives lost among people aged 30-34 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 28 more and the 8 year total of 2,420 more individual aged 30-34 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,238 / 21,885
The next 403 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 35-39, accounting for 100.00% of the 403 total deaths in this group.
This is up 23% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 227,005 people aged 35-39, would have predicted 324 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 79 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 2,976 deaths from All Causes represent 372 lives lost among people aged 35-39 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 79 more and the 8 year total of 2,976 more individual aged 35-39 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 1,641 / 21,885
The next 520 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 40-44, accounting for 100.00% of the 520 total deaths in this group.
This is up 11% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 236,657 people aged 40-44, would have predicted 468 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 52 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 40-44 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 3,438 deaths from All Causes represent 141 lives lost among people aged 40-44 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 52 more and the 8 year total of 3,438 more individual aged 40-44 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,161 / 21,885
The next 557 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 45-49, accounting for 100.00% of the 557 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 197,685 people aged 45-49, would have predicted 580 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 23 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 45-49 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 3,881 deaths from All Causes represent 242 lives saved among people aged 45-49 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 23 fewer and the 8 year total of 3,881 fewer individual aged 45-49 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 2,718 / 21,885
The next 660 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 50-54, accounting for 100.00% of the 660 total deaths in this group.
This is down 5% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 171,720 people aged 50-54, would have predicted 695 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 35 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 50-54 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 5,215 deaths from All Causes represent 149 lives lost among people aged 50-54 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 35 fewer and the 8 year total of 5,215 fewer individual aged 50-54 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 3,378 / 21,885
The next 936 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 55-59, accounting for 100.00% of the 936 total deaths in this group.
This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 153,155 people aged 55-59, would have predicted 899 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 37 more deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 55-59 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 7,610 deaths from All Causes represent 366 lives lost among people aged 55-59 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 37 more and the 8 year total of 7,610 more individual aged 55-59 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 4,314 / 21,885
The next 1,315 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among people aged 60-64, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,315 total deaths in this group.
This is down 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 154,966 people aged 60-64, would have predicted 1,353 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 38 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 10,290 deaths from All Causes represent 123 lives lost among people aged 60-64 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 38 fewer and the 8 year total of 10,290 fewer individual aged 60-64 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 5,629 / 21,885
The next 1,783 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 65-69, accounting for 100.00% of the 1,783 total deaths in this group.
This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 137,591 elderly men and women aged 65-69, would have predicted 1,794 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 11 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 12,375 deaths from All Causes represent 400 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 65-69 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 11 fewer and the 8 year total of 12,375 fewer individual aged 65-69 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 7,412 / 21,885
The next 2,220 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 70-74, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,220 total deaths in this group.
This is down 4% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 108,285 elderly men and women aged 70-74, would have predicted 2,307 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 87 fewer deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 70-74 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 14,961 deaths from All Causes represent 845 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 70-74 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 87 fewer and the 8 year total of 14,961 fewer individual aged 70-74 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 9,632 / 21,885
The next 2,771 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 75-79, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,771 total deaths in this group.
This is up 1% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 75,419 elderly men and women aged 75-79, would have predicted 2,733 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 38 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 17,628 deaths from All Causes represent 716 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 75-79 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 38 more and the 8 year total of 17,628 more individual aged 75-79 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 12,403 / 21,885
The next 2,985 of the 21,885 individual deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80-84, accounting for 100.00% of the 2,985 total deaths in this group.
This is up 3% compared to Old Normal rates. Those rates, applied to this year's population of 45,073 elderly men and women aged 80-84, would have predicted 2,901 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 84 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80-84 living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 20,658 deaths from All Causes represent 539 lives saved among elderly men and women aged 80-84 over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the both the 2022 total of 84 more and the 8 year total of 20,658 more individual aged 80-84 deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 15,388 / 21,885
The next 9,482 of the 21,885 deaths from All Causes in 2022 were among elderly men and women aged 80+, accounting for 100.00% of the 9,482 total deaths in this group.
This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates which, when applied to this year's population of 45,073 would have predicted 8,831 deaths from All Causes this year.
This means there were 651 more deaths than expected from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 80+ living in Utah in 2022.
Overall, 67,961 deaths from All Causes represent 3,440 lives lost among elderly men and women aged 80+ over the first 8 years of Utah's New Normal™.
Click the bar graph above to see how the 8 year total of 67,961 excess individual deaths from All Causes is arrived at.
Yearly All Causes Tally: 24,870 / 21,885*
* Utah does not report the deaths of 2,985 babies in it's death totals