2022 Deaths – All Causes – Both Sexes – 65-69 | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Washington

1. 6,370 of 6,370 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 6,267 of 6,267 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 103 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 2,864 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 6,370 of 431,631 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Washington died from All Causes.

6,370 ÷ 431,631 = 0.01476 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 52,520 deaths from All Causes among 3,617,163 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

52,520 ÷ 3,617,163 = 0.01452 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

431,631 X 0.01452 = 6,267 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

6,370 – 6,267 = 103

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

6,370 ÷ 6,267 = 1.0157

This reveals 103 lives lost and is 101.57% of what we expected (an increase of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

37,889 ÷ 2,813,835 = 0.01347 (5-yr CDR)

431,631(2022 pop) X 0.01347 = 5,812 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

6,370 – 5,812 = 558 or 558 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

6,370 ÷ 5,812 = 1.0952 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,245,466 X 0.01452 = 47,123 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

44259 – 47,123 = -2,864 or 2,864 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

44,259 ÷ 47,123 = 0.9386 or a decrease of 6%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.