2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 25-29 | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in Washington

1. 479 of 479 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 48% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 320 of 320 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 159 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 593 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 48% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 479 of 293,759 men aged 25-29 living in Washington died from All Causes.

479 ÷ 293,759 = 0.00163 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 3,733 deaths from All Causes among 3,430,420 men aged 25-29 living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

3,733 ÷ 3,430,420 = 0.00109 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

293,759 X 0.00109 = 320 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

479 – 320 = 159

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

479 ÷ 320 = 1.4848

This reveals 159 lives lost and is 148.48% of what we expected (an increase of 48%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,697 ÷ 2,080,237 = 0.00130 (5-yr CDR)

293,759(2022 pop) X 0.00130 = 381 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

479 – 381 = 98 or 98 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

479 ÷ 381 = 1.2481 or an increase of 25%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,373,996 X 0.00109 = 2,583 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3176 – 2,583 = 593 or 593 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,176 ÷ 2,583 = 1.2182 or an increase of 22%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.