2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – All Ages | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Washington

1. 36,847 of 36,847 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 27% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 28,943 of 28,943 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 7,904 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 29,455 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 27% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 36,847 of 3,879,349 men of all ages living in Washington died from All Causes.

36,847 ÷ 3,879,349 = 0.00950 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 356,699 deaths from All Causes among 47,809,673 men of all ages living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

356,699 ÷ 47,809,673 = 0.00746 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

3,879,349 X 0.00746 = 28,943 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

36,847 – 28,943 = 7,904

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

36,847 ÷ 28,943 = 1.2714

This reveals 7,904 lives lost and is 127.14% of what we expected (an increase of 27%) in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

215,000 ÷ 25,928,610 = 0.00829 (5-yr CDR)

3,879,349(2022 pop) X 0.00829 = 32,168 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

36,847 – 32,168 = 4,679 or 4,679 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

36,847 ÷ 32,168 = 1.1441 or an increase of 14%

for deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

29,807,959 X 0.00746 = 222,392 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

251847 – 222,392 = 29,455 or 29,455 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

251,847 ÷ 222,392 = 1.1309 or an increase of 13%

in deaths from All Causes among men of all ages living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.