2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 60-64 | Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in Canada

1. 1,012 of 12,324 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 8.21% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 500% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 156 of 13,243 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 856 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 919 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,107 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 10,623 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 500% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,012 of 1,299,750 men aged 60-64 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

1,012 ÷ 1,299,750 = 0.00078 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,513 deaths from Unknown Causes among 12,643,403 men aged 60-64 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,513 ÷ 12,643,403 = 0.00012 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,299,750 X 0.00012 = 156 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,012 – 156 = 856

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,012 ÷ 156 = 6.0047

This reveals 856 lives lost and is 600.47% of what we expected (an increase of 500%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,256 ÷ 8,399,817 = 0.00027 (5-yr CDR)

1,299,750(2022 pop) X 0.00027 = 349 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,012 – 349 = 663 or 663 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,012 ÷ 349 = 2.7950 or an increase of 179%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,699,567 X 0.00012 = 1,161 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3268 – 1,161 = 2,107 or 2,107 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,268 ÷ 1,161 = 2.5984 or an increase of 160%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.