2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 25-29 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 25-29 in New York

1. 396 of 396 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 39% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 278 of 278 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 118 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 635 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 39% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 396 of 678,632 women aged 25-29 living in New York died from All Causes.

396 ÷ 678,632 = 0.00058 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,189 deaths from All Causes among 10,243,891 women aged 25-29 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,189 ÷ 10,243,891 = 0.00041 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

678,632 X 0.00041 = 278 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

396 – 278 = 118

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

396 ÷ 278 = 1.3929

This reveals 118 lives lost and is 139.29% of what we expected (an increase of 39%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,619 ÷ 5,141,870 = 0.00051 (5-yr CDR)

678,632(2022 pop) X 0.00051 = 346 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

396 – 346 = 50 or 50 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

396 ÷ 346 = 1.1236 or an increase of 12%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,820,502 X 0.00041 = 2,380 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3015 – 2,380 = 635 or 635 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,015 ÷ 2,380 = 1.2365 or an increase of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 25-29 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.