2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 75-79 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in United States

1. 4,364 of 218,209 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 2.00% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 5,837 of 237,621 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,473 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 19,412 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 6,309 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 147,129 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 4,364 of 4,909,686 elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

4,364 ÷ 4,909,686 = 0.00089 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 57,007 deaths from Unknown Causes among 47,947,830 elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

57,007 ÷ 47,947,830 = 0.00119 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,909,686 X 0.00119 = 5,837 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

4,364 – 5,837 = -1,473

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

4,364 ÷ 5,837 = 0.7414

This reveals 1,473 lives saved and is 74.14% of what we expected (a decrease of 26%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

29,219 ÷ 28,642,608 = 0.00102 (5-yr CDR)

4,909,686(2022 pop) X 0.00102 = 5,008 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4,364 – 5,008 = -644 or 644 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

4,364 ÷ 5,008 = 0.8629 or a decrease of 14%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

33,552,294 X 0.00119 = 39,892 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

33583 – 39,892 = -6,309 or 6,309 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

33,583 ÷ 39,892 = 0.8348 or a decrease of 17%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.