2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in United States

1. 8,486 of 407,592 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 2.08% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 23% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 10,921 of 433,414 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,435 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 25,822 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 10,234 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 230,452 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 23% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 8,486 of 10,861,000 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

8,486 ÷ 10,861,000 = 0.00078 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 112,670 deaths from Unknown Causes among 112,049,011 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

112,670 ÷ 112,049,011 = 0.00101 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

10,861,000 X 0.00101 = 10,921 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

8,486 – 10,921 = -2,435

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

8,486 ÷ 10,921 = 0.7694

This reveals 2,435 lives saved and is 76.94% of what we expected (a decrease of 23%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

56,600 ÷ 64,044,322 = 0.00088 (5-yr CDR)

10,861,000(2022 pop) X 0.00088 = 9,599 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

8,486 – 9,599 = -1,113 or 1,113 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

8,486 ÷ 9,599 = 0.8742 or a decrease of 13%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

74,905,322 X 0.00101 = 75,320 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

65086 – 75,320 = -10,234 or 10,234 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

65,086 ÷ 75,320 = 0.8556 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.