2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – All Ages | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women of all ages in New York

1. 14,836 of 85,069 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 17.44% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 18% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 12,428 of 79,474 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,408 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 5,595 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 9,455 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 26,363 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 18% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 14,836 of 9,746,889 women of all ages living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

14,836 ÷ 9,746,889 = 0.00152 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 185,592 deaths from Unknown Causes among 145,552,497 women of all ages living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

185,592 ÷ 145,552,497 = 0.00128 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

9,746,889 X 0.00128 = 12,428 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

14,836 – 12,428 = 2,408

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

14,836 ÷ 12,428 = 1.1845

This reveals 2,408 lives lost and is 118.45% of what we expected (an increase of 18%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

94,560 ÷ 68,633,061 = 0.00138 (5-yr CDR)

9,746,889(2022 pop) X 0.00138 = 13,429 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

14,836 – 13,429 = 1,407 or 1,407 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

14,836 ÷ 13,429 = 1.0968 or an increase of 10%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

78,379,950 X 0.00128 = 99,941 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

109396 – 99,941 = 9,455 or 9,455 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

109,396 ÷ 99,941 = 1.0861 or an increase of 9%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women of all ages living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.