2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | Alberta, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Alberta

1. 143 of 523 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 27.34% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 981% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 10 of 256 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 133 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 267 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 670 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,134 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Alberta’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 981% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 143 of 353,839 people aged 30-34 living in Alberta died from Unknown Causes.

143 ÷ 353,839 = 0.00040 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 105 deaths from Unknown Causes among 3,834,286 people aged 30-34 living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

105 ÷ 3,834,286 = 0.00003 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

353,839 X 0.00003 = 10 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

143 – 10 = 133

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

143 ÷ 10 = 10.8103

This reveals 133 lives lost and is 1,081.03% of what we expected (an increase of 981%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

605 ÷ 2,480,805 = 0.00024 (5-yr CDR)

353,839(2022 pop) X 0.00024 = 86 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

143 – 86 = 57 or 57 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

143 ÷ 86 = 1.5919 or an increase of 59%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,834,644 X 0.00003 = 78 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

748 – 78 = 670 or 670 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

748 ÷ 78 = 7.0585 or an increase of 606%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.