2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Elderly Men And Women – 90+ | Alberta, Canada

339
Excess Deaths
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    Categories:

  1. All other symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified (66)
  2. Other ill-defined and unknown causes of mortality (48)
  3. NS (24)
  4. All other and unspecified events of undetermined intent and their sequelae (1)

    2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 90+ in Alberta

    1. 139 of 6,169 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
    2. 2.25% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
    3. This is up 149% compared to Old Normal rates.
    4. 56 of 5,668 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
    5. 83 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
    6. 501 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
    7. 339 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
    8. 445 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Alberta’s New Normal™.
    1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 149% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

    Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

    • “How many elderly men and women aged 90+ were there?” and
    • “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

    The following 2 charts provide this information:

    Deaths – Unknown Causes – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 90+ | Alberta, Canada

    Graph showing Deaths - Unknown Causes - Elderly Men And Women - Aged 90+ | Alberta, Canada

    Population – Elderly Men And Women – Aged 90+ – [2001-2022] | Alberta, Canada

    Graph showing Population - Elderly Men And Women - Aged 90+ - [2001-2022] | Alberta, Canada

    From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 139 of 28,361 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta died from Unknown Causes.

    139 ÷ 28,361 = 0.00490 (2022 CDR)

    We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

    Deaths/100,000 elderly men and women 90+ from Unknown Causes

    Graph showing Deaths/100,000 elderly men and women 90+ from Unknown Causes
    Old Normal (2001-2014) Alberta elderly men and women aged 90+ Unknown Causes
    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2001
    10,586
    2,219
    9
    |2002
    11,149
    2,434
    8
    |2003
    11,829
    2,523
    15
    |2004
    12,568
    2,568
    7
    |2005
    13,470
    2,693
    23
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2006
    14,190
    2,846
    18
    |2007
    14,819
    2,930
    60
    |2008
    15,295
    3,056
    20
    |2009
    15,918
    3,224
    24
    |2010
    17,084
    3,332
    24
    |Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2011
    18,138
    3,580
    34
    |2012
    19,207
    3,679
    24
    |2013
    20,149
    3,903
    35
    |2014
    21,251
    4,108
    122
     
     
     
     

     
     
     
     

    Cumulative:
    Population
    Deaths
    Unknown Causes

    Totals:
    215,653
    43,095
    423

    The table shows there were a total of 423 deaths from Unknown Causes among 215,653 elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

    423 ÷ 215,653 = 0.00196 (Old Normal CDR)

    We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

    2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

    28,361 X 0.00196 = 56 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

    13956 = 83

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

    139 ÷ 56 = 2.4860

    This reveals 83 lives lost and is 248.60% of what we expected (an increase of 149%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

    5yr CDR (2017-2021)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From

    |2017
    24,348
    4,799
    58
    |2018
    25,343
    4,858
    123
    |2019
    26,641
    5,029
    115
    |2020
    27,903
    5,573
    88
    |2021
    28,374
    5,793
    124
    Total:
    177,734
    34,571
    604

    This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

    604 ÷ 177,734 = 0.00340 (5-yr CDR)

    28,361(2022 pop) X 0.00340 = 96 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    13996 = 43 or 43 lives lost

    Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

    139 ÷ 96 = 1.4380 or an increase of 44%

    for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

    Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

    Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

    New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

    206,095 X 0.00196 = 404 expected deaths

    The difference between actual and expected deaths:

    743404 = 339 or 339 lives lost

    Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

    743 ÷ 404 = 1.8286 or an increase of 83%

    in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 90+ living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.

    New Normal (2015-2022)

    Year
    Pop
    Died
    From
    |2015
    22,006
    4,111
    58
    |2016
    23,119
    4,408
    38
    |2017
    24,348
    4,799
    58
    |2018
    25,343
    4,858
    123
    |2019
    26,641
    5,029
    115
    |2020
    27,903
    5,573
    88
    |2021
    28,374
    5,793
    124
    |2022
    28,361
    6,169
    139
    Total:
    206,095
    40,740
    743

    The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly

    The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.

    Return to the top of the page to select another age category.