2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Alberta, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Alberta

1. 1,353 of 17,700 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 7.64% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 657% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 156 of 13,601 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,197 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 4,099 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 5,939 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 14,314 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Alberta’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 657% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,353 of 2,282,015 men of all ages living in Alberta died from Unknown Causes.

1,353 ÷ 2,282,015 = 0.00059 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,718 deaths from Unknown Causes among 25,158,114 men of all ages living in Alberta in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,718 ÷ 25,158,114 = 0.00007 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

2,282,015 X 0.00007 = 156 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,353 – 156 = 1,197

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,353 ÷ 156 = 7.5733

This reveals 1,197 lives lost and is 757.33% of what we expected (an increase of 657%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

5,778 ÷ 15,167,650 = 0.00038 (5-yr CDR)

2,282,015(2022 pop) X 0.00038 = 869 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,353 – 869 = 484 or 484 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,353 ÷ 869 = 1.5166 or an increase of 52%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Alberta in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

17,449,665 X 0.00007 = 1,192 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7131 – 1,192 = 5,939 or 5,939 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,131 ÷ 1,192 = 5.2200 or an increase of 422%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Alberta in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.