2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 40-44 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for men aged 40-44 in Canada

1. 577 of 2,787 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 20.70% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 462% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 89 of 2,209 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 488 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 578 excess All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 1,808 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 1,651 excess All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 462% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 40-44 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 577 of 1,344,985 men aged 40-44 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

577 ÷ 1,344,985 = 0.00043 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,282 deaths from Unknown Causes among 19,311,205 men aged 40-44 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,282 ÷ 19,311,205 = 0.00007 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,344,985 X 0.00007 = 89 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

577 – 89 = 488

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

577 ÷ 89 = 5.6162

This reveals 488 lives lost and is 561.62% of what we expected (an increase of 462%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

1,958 ÷ 9,609,525 = 0.00020 (5-yr CDR)

1,344,985(2023 pop) X 0.00020 = 274 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

577 – 274 = 303 or 303 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

577 ÷ 274 = 2.0070 or an increase of 101%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,954,510 X 0.00007 = 727 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2535 – 727 = 1,808 or 1,808 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

2,535 ÷ 727 = 3.0295 or an increase of 203%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 40-44 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.