2023 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 65-69 | Canada

2023 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 65-69 in Canada

1. 783 of 15,820 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 4.95% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 281% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 194 of 18,757 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 589 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2023.
6. 2,937 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2023.
7. 2,436 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2023)
8. 21,808 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 9 years of Canada’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 281% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2023 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2023, 783 of 1,155,219 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Canada died from Unknown Causes.

783 ÷ 1,155,219 = 0.00068 (2023 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 1,660 deaths from Unknown Causes among 9,873,969 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Canada in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

1,660 ÷ 9,873,969 = 0.00017 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2023 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,155,219 X 0.00017 = 194 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

783 – 194 = 589

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

783 ÷ 194 = 3.8053

This reveals 589 lives lost and is 380.53% of what we expected (an increase of 281%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,211 ÷ 8,110,446 = 0.00040 (5-yr CDR)

1,155,219(2023 pop) X 0.00040 = 457 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

783 – 457 = 326 or 326 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

783 ÷ 457 = 1.6698 or an increase of 67%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Canada in 2023, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

9,265,665 X 0.00017 = 1,558 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3994 – 1,558 = 2,436 or 2,436 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,994 ÷ 1,558 = 2.4200 or an increase of 142%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Canada in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.