2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 65-69 | Nova Scotia, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 65-69 in Nova Scotia

1. 30 of 5,824 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 0.52% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 26% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 36 of 6,483 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 6 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 659 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 155 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 9,155 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Nova Scotia’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 26% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 30 of 500,620 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia died from Unknown Causes.

30 ÷ 500,620 = 0.00006 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 52 deaths from Unknown Causes among 733,044 elderly men aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in the 14 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

52 ÷ 733,044 = 0.00007 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

500,620 X 0.00007 = 36 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

30 – 36 = -6

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

30 ÷ 36 = 0.7404

This reveals 6 lives saved and is 74.04% of what we expected (a decrease of 26%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

84 ÷ 3,292,830 = 0.00003 (5-yr CDR)

500,620(2022 pop) X 0.00003 = 13 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

30 – 13 = 17 or 17 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

30 ÷ 13 = 1.6876 or an increase of 69%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

3,793,450 X 0.00007 = 269 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

114 – 269 = -155 or 155 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

114 ÷ 269 = 0.3713 or a decrease of 63%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 65-69 living in Nova Scotia in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.