2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 25-29 | Ontario, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in Ontario

1. 164 of 534 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 30.71% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 585% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 18 of 387 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 146 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 147 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 406 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 800 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Ontario’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 585% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 164 of 584,381 men aged 25-29 living in Ontario died from Unknown Causes.

164 ÷ 584,381 = 0.00028 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 197 deaths from Unknown Causes among 6,365,558 men aged 25-29 living in Ontario in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

197 ÷ 6,365,558 = 0.00003 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

584,381 X 0.00003 = 18 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

164 – 18 = 146

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

164 ÷ 18 = 6.8536

This reveals 146 lives lost and is 685.36% of what we expected (an increase of 585%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

372 ÷ 3,623,222 = 0.00010 (5-yr CDR)

584,381(2022 pop) X 0.00010 = 60 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

164 – 60 = 104 or 104 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

164 ÷ 60 = 2.4908 or an increase of 149%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Ontario in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,207,603 X 0.00003 = 130 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

536 – 130 = 406 or 406 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

536 ÷ 130 = 3.1110 or an increase of 211%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 25-29 living in Ontario in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.