2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in Quebec

1. 118 of 480 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 24.58% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 350% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 21 of 509 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 97 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 29 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 222 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 835 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Quebec’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 350% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 118 of 565,297 people aged 35-39 living in Quebec died from Unknown Causes.

118 ÷ 565,297 = 0.00021 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 299 deaths from Unknown Causes among 8,222,270 people aged 35-39 living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

299 ÷ 8,222,270 = 0.00004 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

565,297 X 0.00004 = 21 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

118 – 21 = 97

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

118 ÷ 21 = 4.5021

This reveals 97 lives lost and is 450.21% of what we expected (an increase of 350%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

270 ÷ 4,003,187 = 0.00007 (5-yr CDR)

565,297(2022 pop) X 0.00007 = 38 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

118 – 38 = 80 or 80 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

118 ÷ 38 = 2.6953 or an increase of 170%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,568,484 X 0.00004 = 166 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

388 – 166 = 222 or 222 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

388 ÷ 166 = 1.8318 or an increase of 83%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.