2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 60-64 | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 60-64 in Quebec

1. 321 of 4,559 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 7.04% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 384% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 60 of 5,444 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 261 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 885 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 618 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 7,122 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Quebec’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 384% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 321 of 629,255 people aged 60-64 living in Quebec died from Unknown Causes.

321 ÷ 629,255 = 0.00051 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 625 deaths from Unknown Causes among 6,546,226 people aged 60-64 living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

625 ÷ 6,546,226 = 0.00010 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

629,255 X 0.00010 = 60 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

321 – 60 = 261

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

321 ÷ 60 = 4.8365

This reveals 261 lives lost and is 483.65% of what we expected (an increase of 384%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

753 ÷ 4,144,732 = 0.00018 (5-yr CDR)

629,255(2022 pop) X 0.00018 = 114 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

321 – 114 = 207 or 207 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

321 ÷ 114 = 2.6614 or an increase of 166%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,773,987 X 0.00010 = 456 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1074 – 456 = 618 or 618 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,074 ÷ 456 = 2.1329 or an increase of 113%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 60-64 living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.