2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 65-69 | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 65-69 in Quebec

1. 360 of 6,548 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 5.50% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 349% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 75 of 7,606 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 285 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 1,058 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 627 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 8,898 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Quebec’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 349% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 65-69 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 360 of 556,097 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Quebec died from Unknown Causes.

360 ÷ 556,097 = 0.00065 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 701 deaths from Unknown Causes among 5,227,566 elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

701 ÷ 5,227,566 = 0.00013 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

556,097 X 0.00013 = 75 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

360 – 75 = 285

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

360 ÷ 75 = 4.4926

This reveals 285 lives lost and is 449.26% of what we expected (an increase of 349%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

812 ÷ 3,511,371 = 0.00023 (5-yr CDR)

556,097(2022 pop) X 0.00023 = 129 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

360 – 129 = 231 or 231 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

360 ÷ 129 = 2.6834 or an increase of 168%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,067,468 X 0.00013 = 545 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1172 – 545 = 627 or 627 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

1,172 ÷ 545 = 1.9996 or an increase of 100%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 65-69 living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.