2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Quebec

1. 2,505 of 38,781 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 6.46% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 301% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 581 of 32,598 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,924 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 6,183 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 5,372 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 24,937 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Quebec’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 301% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,505 of 4,336,247 men of all ages living in Quebec died from Unknown Causes.

2,505 ÷ 4,336,247 = 0.00058 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 7,698 deaths from Unknown Causes among 57,423,951 men of all ages living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

7,698 ÷ 57,423,951 = 0.00013 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

4,336,247 X 0.00013 = 581 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,505 – 581 = 1,924

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,505 ÷ 581 = 4.0102

This reveals 1,924 lives lost and is 401.02% of what we expected (an increase of 301%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

7,371 ÷ 29,258,784 = 0.00025 (5-yr CDR)

4,336,247(2022 pop) X 0.00025 = 1,092 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,505 – 1,092 = 1,413 or 1,413 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,505 ÷ 1,092 = 2.2056 or an increase of 121%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

33,595,031 X 0.00013 = 4,504 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9876 – 4,504 = 5,372 or 5,372 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

9,876 ÷ 4,504 = 2.0407 or an increase of 104%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.