2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Female – Ages 25-29 | California, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 25-29 in California

1. 404 of 813 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 49.69% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 6% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 417 of 544 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 13 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 269 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 281 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 973 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of California’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 6% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 404 of 1,337,669 women aged 25-29 living in California died from Unknown Causes.

404 ÷ 1,337,669 = 0.00030 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 6,079 deaths from Unknown Causes among 19,488,646 women aged 25-29 living in California in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

6,079 ÷ 19,488,646 = 0.00031 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,337,669 X 0.00031 = 417 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

404 – 417 = -13

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

404 ÷ 417 = 0.9382

This reveals 13 lives saved and is 93.82% of what we expected (a decrease of 6%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 25-29 living in California in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,944 ÷ 10,295,519 = 0.00029 (5-yr CDR)

1,337,669(2022 pop) X 0.00029 = 383 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

404 – 383 = 21 or 21 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

404 ÷ 383 = 1.0205 or an increase of 2%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 25-29 living in California in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

11,633,188 X 0.00031 = 3,629 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3348 – 3,629 = -281 or 281 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,348 ÷ 3,629 = 0.8940 or a decrease of 11%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among women aged 25-29 living in California in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.