2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 75-79 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly women aged 75-79 in New York

1. 9,603 of 9,603 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 11,297 of 11,297 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,694 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 9,624 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 9,603 of 369,308 elderly women aged 75-79 living in New York died from All Causes.

9,603 ÷ 369,308 = 0.02600 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 133,804 deaths from All Causes among 4,374,032 elderly women aged 75-79 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

133,804 ÷ 4,374,032 = 0.03059 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

369,308 X 0.03059 = 11,297 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

9,603 – 11,297 = -1,694

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

9,603 ÷ 11,297 = 0.8497

This reveals 1,694 lives saved and is 84.97% of what we expected (a decrease of 15%) in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

59,883 ÷ 2,216,774 = 0.02701 (5-yr CDR)

369,308(2022 pop) X 0.02701 = 9,976 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

9,603 – 9,976 = -373 or 373 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

9,603 ÷ 9,976 = 0.9622 or a decrease of 4%

for deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,586,082 X 0.03059 = 79,110 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

69486 – 79,110 = -9,624 or 9,624 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

69,486 ÷ 79,110 = 0.8781 or a decrease of 12%

in deaths from All Causes among elderly women aged 75-79 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.