2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 25-29 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 25-29 in New York

1. 978 of 978 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 34% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 721 of 721 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 257 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,557 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 34% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 25-29 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 978 of 676,128 men aged 25-29 living in New York died from All Causes.

978 ÷ 676,128 = 0.00145 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 10,666 deaths from All Causes among 9,996,810 men aged 25-29 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

10,666 ÷ 9,996,810 = 0.00107 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

676,128 X 0.00107 = 721 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

978 – 721 = 257

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

978 ÷ 721 = 1.3431

This reveals 257 lives lost and is 134.31% of what we expected (an increase of 34%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,785 ÷ 5,140,577 = 0.00132 (5-yr CDR)

676,128(2022 pop) X 0.00132 = 892 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

978 – 892 = 86 or 86 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

978 ÷ 892 = 1.0877 or an increase of 9%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,816,705 X 0.00107 = 6,206 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7763 – 6,206 = 1,557 or 1,557 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,763 ÷ 6,206 = 1.2393 or an increase of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 25-29 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.