Lives Saved
- References
- Deaths: Data Notes
- Population: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics
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- There were a total of 173,938 deaths in New York in 2022
- 88,869 of all deaths were among men
- 3,443 of all deaths were among those aged 45-49
- 2,251 of all deaths were among men aged 45-49
2,251 deaths from All Causes were among men aged 45-49
2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 45-49 in New York
- 2,251 of 2,251 total deaths were from All Causes
- 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
- This is up 7% compared to Old Normal rates.
- 2,096 of 2,096 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
- 155 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
- 971 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)
- To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 7% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.
Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:
- “How many men aged 45-49 were there?” and
- “How many of them died from All Causes?”
The following 2 charts provide this information:
Deaths – All Causes – Male – Aged 45-49 | New York, United-states
Population – Male – Aged 45-49 – [2000-2022] | New York, United-states
From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,251 of 564,661 men aged 45-49 living in New York died from All Causes.
2,251 ÷ 564,661 = 0.00399 (2022 CDR)
The table shows there were a total of 38,516 deaths from All Causes among 10,375,367 men aged 45-49 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.
38,516 ÷ 10,375,367 = 0.00371 (Old Normal CDR)
We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:
2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths
564,661 X 0.00371 = 2,096 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:
2,251 – 2,096 = 155
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:
2,251 ÷ 2,096 = 1.0710
This reveals 155 lives lost and is 107.10% of what we expected (an increase of 7%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 45-49 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.
This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):
14,633 ÷ 4,245,118 = 0.00345 (5-yr CDR)
564,661(2022 pop) X 0.00345 = 1,946 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
2,251 – 1,946 = 305 or 305 lives lost
Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:
2,251 ÷ 1,946 = 1.1532 or an increase of 15%
for deaths from All Causes among men aged 45-49 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.
Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?
Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:
New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths
4,809,779 X 0.00371 = 17,855 expected deaths
The difference between actual and expected deaths:
16884 – 17,855 = -971 or 971 lives saved
Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:
16,884 ÷ 17,855 = 0.9431 or a decrease of 6%
in deaths from All Causes among men aged 45-49 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.
The world has been led to believe that a deadly pandemic swept the globe beginning in 2020, causing an increase in death rates, especially among the elderly
The data show that death rates began to increase in 2015, immediately upon implementation of the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, that young adults have experienced ever-increasing death rates since, and that death rates among the elderly have remained relatively stable.
Return to the top of the page to select another age category.
Deaths/100,000 male 45-49 from All Causes
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