2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 75-79 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men and women aged 75-79 in New York

1. 2,708 of 20,498 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 13.21% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 1% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,723 of 23,993 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 15 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 3,495 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 221 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 19,164 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 1% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men and women aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,708 of 655,902 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

2,708 ÷ 655,902 = 0.00413 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 30,963 deaths from Unknown Causes among 7,458,278 elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

30,963 ÷ 7,458,278 = 0.00415 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

655,902 X 0.00415 = 2,723 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,708 – 2,723 = -15

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,708 ÷ 2,723 = 0.9921

This reveals 15 lives saved and is 99.21% of what we expected (a decrease of 1%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

16,365 ÷ 3,885,176 = 0.00421 (5-yr CDR)

655,902(2022 pop) X 0.00421 = 2,763 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,708 – 2,763 = -55 or 55 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,708 ÷ 2,763 = 0.9779 or a decrease of 2%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,541,078 X 0.00415 = 18,852 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

19073 – 18,852 = 221 or 221 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

19,073 ÷ 18,852 = 1.0093 or an increase of 1%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men and women aged 75-79 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.