2022 Deaths – All Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in United States

1. 33,877 of 33,877 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 56% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 21,670 of 21,670 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 12,207 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 54,744 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 56% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 33,877 of 11,302,300 men aged 35-39 living in United States died from All Causes.

33,877 ÷ 11,302,300 = 0.00300 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 297,992 deaths from All Causes among 155,424,465 men aged 35-39 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

297,992 ÷ 155,424,465 = 0.00192 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,302,300 X 0.00192 = 21,670 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

33,877 – 21,670 = 12,207

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

33,877 ÷ 21,670 = 1.5552

This reveals 12,207 lives lost and is 155.52% of what we expected (an increase of 56%) in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

186,414 ÷ 75,042,403 = 0.00248 (5-yr CDR)

11,302,300(2022 pop) X 0.00248 = 28,076 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

33,877 – 28,076 = 5,801 or 5,801 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

33,877 ÷ 28,076 = 1.2018 or an increase of 20%

for deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

86,344,703 X 0.00192 = 165,547 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

220291 – 165,547 = 54,744 or 54,744 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

220,291 ÷ 165,547 = 1.3238 or an increase of 32%

in deaths from All Causes among men aged 35-39 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.