2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – 1-4 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for pre-schoolers aged 1-4 in United States

1. 2,177 of 4,156 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 52.38% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,082 of 4,284 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 95 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 128 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,310 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 5,245 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many pre-schoolers aged 1-4 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,177 of 14,855,240 pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

2,177 ÷ 14,855,240 = 0.00015 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 33,360 deaths from Unknown Causes among 238,022,917 pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

33,360 ÷ 238,022,917 = 0.00014 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

14,855,240 X 0.00014 = 2,082 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,177 – 2,082 = 95

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,177 ÷ 2,082 = 0.9760

This reveals 95 lives saved and is 97.60% of what we expected (a decrease of 2%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

14,078 ÷ 110,470,525 = 0.00013 (5-yr CDR)

14,855,240(2022 pop) X 0.00013 = 1,893 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,177 – 1,893 = 284 or 284 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,177 ÷ 1,893 = 1.0663 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

125,325,765 X 0.00014 = 17,565 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

16255 – 17,565 = -1,310 or 1,310 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

16,255 ÷ 17,565 = 0.8638 or a decrease of 14%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among pre-schoolers aged 1-4 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.