2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 15-19 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for teens aged 15-19 in United States

1. 2,457 of 12,745 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 19.28% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 14% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,655 of 12,399 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 198 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 346 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 2,013 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 6,294 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 14% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many teens aged 15-19 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,457 of 21,635,792 teens aged 15-19 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

2,457 ÷ 21,635,792 = 0.00011 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 39,293 deaths from Unknown Causes among 320,223,390 teens aged 15-19 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

39,293 ÷ 320,223,390 = 0.00012 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

21,635,792 X 0.00012 = 2,655 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,457 – 2,655 = -198

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,457 ÷ 2,655 = 0.8557

This reveals 198 lives saved and is 85.57% of what we expected (a decrease of 14%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

16,351 ÷ 148,047,948 = 0.00011 (5-yr CDR)

21,635,792(2022 pop) X 0.00011 = 2,390 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,457 – 2,390 = 67 or 67 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,457 ÷ 2,390 = 0.9429 or a decrease of 6%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

169,683,740 X 0.00012 = 20,821 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

18808 – 20,821 = -2,013 or 2,013 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

18,808 ÷ 20,821 = 0.8352 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among teens aged 15-19 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.