2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 15-19 | United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for teen-aged boys aged 15-19 in United States

1. 1,390 of 9,180 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 15.14% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 15% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,515 of 8,855 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 125 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 325 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 1,211 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 3,970 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of United States’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 15% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many teen-aged boys aged 15-19 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,390 of 11,082,043 teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in United States died from Unknown Causes.

1,390 ÷ 11,082,043 = 0.00013 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 22,502 deaths from Unknown Causes among 164,545,228 teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in United States in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

22,502 ÷ 164,545,228 = 0.00014 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

11,082,043 X 0.00014 = 1,515 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,390 – 1,515 = -125

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,390 ÷ 1,515 = 0.8547

This reveals 125 lives saved and is 85.47% of what we expected (a decrease of 15%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

9,258 ÷ 75,638,292 = 0.00012 (5-yr CDR)

11,082,043(2022 pop) X 0.00012 = 1,356 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,390 – 1,356 = 34 or 34 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,390 ÷ 1,356 = 0.9474 or a decrease of 5%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in United States in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

86,720,335 X 0.00014 = 11,859 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10648 – 11,859 = -1,211 or 1,211 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

10,648 ÷ 11,859 = 0.8367 or a decrease of 16%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among teen-aged boys aged 15-19 living in United States in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.