2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 30-34 | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 30-34 in Washington

1. 531 of 998 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 53.21% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 20% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 435 of 554 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 96 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 444 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 160 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,264 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Washington’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 20% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 531 of 620,582 people aged 30-34 living in Washington died from Unknown Causes.

531 ÷ 620,582 = 0.00086 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 4,723 deaths from Unknown Causes among 6,732,155 people aged 30-34 living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

4,723 ÷ 6,732,155 = 0.00070 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

620,582 X 0.00070 = 435 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

531 – 435 = 96

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

531 ÷ 435 = 1.2025

This reveals 96 lives lost and is 120.25% of what we expected (an increase of 20%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

2,833 ÷ 3,946,609 = 0.00072 (5-yr CDR)

620,582(2022 pop) X 0.00072 = 445 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

531 – 445 = 86 or 86 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

531 ÷ 445 = 1.1756 or an increase of 18%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

4,567,191 X 0.00070 = 3,204 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3364 – 3,204 = 160 or 160 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

3,364 ÷ 3,204 = 1.0351 or an increase of 4%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 30-34 living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.