2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | Washington, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in Washington

1. 10,648 of 36,847 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 28.90% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 13% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 9,394 of 28,943 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 1,254 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 7,904 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 5,717 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 29,455 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Washington’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 13% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 10,648 of 3,879,349 men of all ages living in Washington died from Unknown Causes.

10,648 ÷ 3,879,349 = 0.00274 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 115,774 deaths from Unknown Causes among 47,809,673 men of all ages living in Washington in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

115,774 ÷ 47,809,673 = 0.00242 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

3,879,349 X 0.00242 = 9,394 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

10,648 – 9,394 = 1,254

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

10,648 ÷ 9,394 = 1.1288

This reveals 1,254 lives lost and is 112.88% of what we expected (an increase of 13%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

67,251 ÷ 25,928,610 = 0.00259 (5-yr CDR)

3,879,349(2022 pop) X 0.00259 = 10,062 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

10,648 – 10,062 = 586 or 586 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

10,648 ÷ 10,062 = 1.0542 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Washington in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

29,807,959 X 0.00242 = 72,182 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

77899 – 72,182 = 5,717 or 5,717 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

77,899 ÷ 72,182 = 1.0748 or an increase of 7%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in Washington in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.