2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – 75-79 | Maryland, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for elderly men aged 75-79 in Maryland

1. 741 of 3,509 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 21.12% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is down 17% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 897 of 4,171 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 156 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 662 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 598 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 3,869 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Maryland’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are down 17% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many elderly men aged 75-79 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 741 of 85,346 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland died from Unknown Causes.

741 ÷ 85,346 = 0.00868 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 8,456 deaths from Unknown Causes among 804,302 elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

8,456 ÷ 804,302 = 0.01051 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

85,346 X 0.01051 = 897 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

741 – 897 = -156

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

741 ÷ 897 = 0.8250

This reveals 156 lives saved and is 82.50% of what we expected (a decrease of 17%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

4,698 ÷ 488,875 = 0.00961 (5-yr CDR)

85,346(2022 pop) X 0.00961 = 820 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

741 – 820 = -79 or 79 lives saved

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

741 ÷ 820 = 0.9025 or a decrease of 10%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

574,221 X 0.01051 = 6,037 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

5439 – 6,037 = -598 or 598 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

5,439 ÷ 6,037 = 0.9001 or a decrease of 10%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among elderly men aged 75-79 living in Maryland in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.